The Atlantic Lives!

Irene is long gone, but it seems to have opened the gates for the Atlantic season to really take off.

A few notes on Irene before going on:

Forecasters received a lot of flack for not predicting strength and intensity correctly. As far as forecasting goes, finding the track or path of the hurricane is a lot easier than the intensity standpoint. As a person who wants nothing but personal safety during an event like this, I think knowing a hurricane is going to affect your area is more valuable than exactly how strong it is going to be. Both are good aspects to know, but a weak hurricane isn’t your average afternoon thunderstorm either.

I think hype got the better of this storm through the mainstream media, but on the flip side its better to prepare for the worse than to not be prepared at all.

In this video you can tell the hurricane track forecast was spot on days before landfall.

Back out in the Atlantic, we have strengthening Tropical Storm Katia. Katia is expected to reach hurricane strength by late Wednesday. Models today drag Katia along a path north of that which Irene took. This means she will likely not make landfall with the continental US. The same models do intensify Katia to impressive levels, later on we will see a nicely formed hurricane by the end of the weekend! May want to hold off on that vacation to Bermuda though.

GFS hints at an interesting formation in the Gulf of Mexico this weekend. It could be just some random tangent, but a storm was shown in the Gulf from last week’s models as well.

Area of interest in Gulf of Mexico.

Shortly after a very strong Katia can be seen in the Atlantic.

In Michigan temperatures will increase and touch 90 by Friday. After a front passes through this weekend, temps will decline into a comfortable mid 70 trend.

EDIT:

Whoops, wanted to add this little animation looking down at the Northeast before/after Irene. Notice the sediments added to the shoreline and changing the water color.

Heavy rains associated with Irene caused a bunch of land based sediments to be rinsed into surrounding water bodies. (CIMSS)

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About gweatherc
Live in Michigan and enjoy observing the weather. Want to pursue it as a career! Currently taking classes at Central Michigan University.

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