Good February Gone Bad

Remember that fair and calm February?

I think this one has a bad ending. First we had a nice treatment of snow last week, this week looks to be dominated by a possible ice storm for much of southern lower Michigan, and snow for northern lower Michigan. Will discuss this event before moving into an interesting climatology tid-bit.

The playmaker is just off the west coast tonight, so tomorrow’s models should get a better grasp on track and location. As soon as the low crosses the Rocky Mtns, storm will rapidly develop and mature, feeding on some Gulf moisture. Storm looks to hit its max while still over the Northern Plains, however that doesn’t mean it won’t pack a punch here. Track looks further north than the last storm, so more warm air will filter in ahead. This will add an interesting outlook where freezing rain and a mix may dominate the precip type. I think Gaylord and surrounding areas will deal with the most snow, while further south an ice storm is brewing.

Grand Rapids already has a headline about the possible ice situation here.

Dr. Peyrefitte mentioned an interesting fact last week. In Duluth, MN the NWS noted the 10 least snowiest periods, from July 1st to Feb 5th, and compared it to the rest of the year (Feb 6th to June 30th). Since this year’s sum was 10th on the list, we are waiting for what was observed in the past: an active rest of winter.

Top 10 least snow periods compared to rest of season. (From Duluth, MN NWS)

Sure we are comparing a location 400-500 miles away, but you must realize that weather is regional. What places get upstream reflects downstream as well. Will this year redeem itself?


About gweatherc
Live in Michigan and enjoy observing the weather. Want to pursue it as a career! Currently taking classes at Central Michigan University.

One Response to Good February Gone Bad

  1. Dad says:

    Please keep me updated on this storm.

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